Exercise: Extracting implied forward from market quotes
For the 1-year options on SPY, you observe the following market mid-quotes:
| Strike | Call | Put |
|---|---|---|
| 400 | 59.80 | 13.40 |
| 420 | 47.20 | 20.60 |
| 440 | 36.15 | 29.35 |
| 460 | 26.70 | 39.70 |
Assume , no short-sale constraints.
Tasks
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For each strike, compute , then extract the "implied forward price" .
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If the market is arbitrage-free, should be the same across all strikes. Do the four values agree?
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If you observed with noticeable variation, what would it tell you about the market?
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The SPY spot price is . The "implied dividend yield" satisfies . Extract .
Hint
.