CONTENTS

Solution: Reading Moments from the MGF — Normal Distribution

Part 1

MX(s)=exp(σ2s2/2)M_X(s) = \exp(\sigma^2 s^2/2). With u=σ2s2/2u = \sigma^2 s^2/2:

MX(s)=1+u+u22+u36+u424+=1+σ2s22+σ4s48+σ6s648+σ8s8384+M_X(s) = 1 + u + \tfrac{u^2}{2} + \tfrac{u^3}{6} + \tfrac{u^4}{24} + \cdots = 1 + \tfrac{\sigma^2 s^2}{2} + \tfrac{\sigma^4 s^4}{8} + \tfrac{\sigma^6 s^6}{48} + \tfrac{\sigma^8 s^8}{384} + \cdots

Only even powers of ss appear.

Part 2

Compare to the general series MX(s)=kE[Xk]sk/k!M_X(s) = \sum_k \mathbb{E}[X^k] s^k/k!. Matching coefficient of s2ks^{2k}:

E[X2k](2k)!=1k!σ2k2k.\frac{\mathbb{E}[X^{2k}]}{(2k)!} = \frac{1}{k!}\cdot \frac{\sigma^{2k}}{2^k}.

So E[X2k]=(2k)!/(2kk!)σ2k\mathbb{E}[X^{2k}] = (2k)!/(2^k\,k!)\cdot \sigma^{2k}. The combinatorial factor (2k)!/(2kk!)(2k)!/(2^k k!) equals (2k1)!!=135(2k1)(2k - 1)!! = 1\cdot 3\cdot 5 \cdots (2k - 1). Values:

kkE[X2k]/σ2k\mathbb{E}[X^{2k}]/\sigma^{2k}(2k1)!!(2k - 1)!!
001111
111111
223313=31\cdot 3 = 3
331515135=151\cdot 3\cdot 5 = 15
441051051357=1051\cdot 3\cdot 5\cdot 7 = 105

Odd moments are 00 because only even powers of ss appear in the MGF Taylor series — and by symmetry of the normal distribution around 00, the odd central moments must vanish.

Part 3

Excess kurtosis: E[X4]/σ43=33=0\mathbb{E}[X^4]/\sigma^4 - 3 = 3 - 3 = 0. ✓ This is the defining property: zero excess kurtosis characterises the normal among light-tailed distributions (at the level of the fourth moment). Distributions with positive excess kurtosis ("leptokurtic") have heavier tails than normal — essentially every empirical financial return distribution.

Part 4

For WTN(0,T)W_T \sim \mathcal{N}(0, T): σ2=T\sigma^2 = T, so E[WT4]=3T2\mathbb{E}[W_T^4] = 3T^2.

Application. The quadratic variation of Brownian motion is W,WT=T\langle W, W\rangle_T = T — deterministic. But we can also compute E[WT2]=T\mathbb{E}[W_T^2] = T directly. More subtle: E[(WT2T)2]=E[WT4]2TE[WT2]+T2=3T22T2+T2=2T2\mathbb{E}[(W_T^2 - T)^2] = \mathbb{E}[W_T^4] - 2T\mathbb{E}[W_T^2] + T^2 = 3T^2 - 2T^2 + T^2 = 2T^2. So Var(WT2)=2T2\text{Var}(W_T^2) = 2T^2, with standard deviation T2T\sqrt{2}. This is a strong form of concentration around the mean: the L2L^2 fluctuations of WT2W_T^2 grow proportionally with TT, which is what makes the quadratic-variation limit rigorous.

Integrated-Brownian-motion variance computations use these fourth-moment identities routinely (via Itô isometry and Fubini arguments).

Takeaways

  • Normal moments are (2k1)!!σ2k(2k - 1)!!\,\sigma^{2k}. The double factorial appears because of the 1/2k1/2^k and 1/k!1/k! in the Taylor expansion of exp\exp.
  • Zero excess kurtosis is a normal-distribution fingerprint. Any departure flags heavier-than-normal tails, a universal feature of real returns.
  • E[WT4]=3T2\mathbb{E}[W_T^4] = 3T^2 is the most commonly-cited Brownian-motion fourth moment; it appears in quadratic-variation estimates, Itô-isometry variance bounds, and virtually every variance-of-a-square-of-normal calculation.
  • MGF Taylor coefficients are the cleanest way to derive all moments of a family at once.