Indicator becomes 1w≤x−θT. The exponent in the integrand:
−θw−2θ2T−2Tw2=−2T1(w2+2θTw+θ2T2)=−2T(w+θT)2.
So the integrand is 2πT1exp(−(w+θT)2/(2T)) — density of N(−θT,T) evaluated at w. Change variable u=w+θT:
Q(W~T≤x)=∫−∞x2πT1e−u2/(2T)du=Φ(x/T).
Hence W~T∼N(0,T) under Q. ✓
Part 4
Girsanov has shifted the mean (drift) of the process Wt from 0 to −θt under Q — equivalently, made W~t:=Wt+θt a zero-drift BM under Q. The variance / quadratic variation ⟨W~⟩t=t is unchanged — Girsanov does not change volatility.
Takeaways
Doléans-Dade exponentials are the natural Radon-Nikodym derivatives for Girsanov. The form exp(−∫θdW−21∫θ2ds) is forced by the requirement that Z be a martingale with E[Z]=1.
For constant θ, Novikov holds trivially. The full machinery of Novikov is needed only for unbounded θ (stochastic volatility, interest rates, etc.).
Drift change is a change of measure; volatility is an intrinsic property. Calibrating a volatility surface to market prices works; re-calibrating the drift is always possible (it's just a choice of measure).
The sign convention −θ vs +θ depends on which direction you're going. Ask: under the new measure Q, what is Wt? If W~t=Wt+θt is the Q-BM, then Wt=W~t−θt has drift −θ under Q.