CONTENTS

Exercise: The Market Price of Risk in Black-Scholes

Problem

Under the real-world measure P\mathbb{P}:

dSt=μStdt+σStdWt,dBt=rBtdt,dS_t = \mu S_t\,dt + \sigma S_t\,dW_t, \quad dB_t = r B_t\,dt,

where SS is the stock, BB is the money-market account, μ\mu is the real-world expected return, σ\sigma is volatility, and rr is the risk-free rate.

  1. Compute dS~td\tilde S_t where S~t:=St/Bt=ertSt\tilde S_t := S_t/B_t = e^{-rt}S_t is the discounted stock price. Show that S~\tilde S has drift (μr)S~tdt(\mu - r)\tilde S_t\,dt and diffusion σS~tdWt\sigma \tilde S_t\,dW_t.
  2. We want to find QP\mathbb{Q} \sim \mathbb{P} under which S~t\tilde S_t is a martingale. This requires the drift of S~t\tilde S_t under Q\mathbb{Q} to vanish. By Girsanov, if W~t=Wt+θt\tilde W_t = W_t + \theta t is the Q\mathbb{Q}-BM for some constant θ\theta, then dWt=dW~tθdtdW_t = d\tilde W_t - \theta\,dt. Substitute into the S~\tilde S SDE and determine the value of θ\theta that kills the drift.

  3. The constant θ=(μr)/σ\theta = (\mu - r)/\sigma is called the market price of risk. Interpret its name: for a stock with expected excess return μr\mu - r and volatility σ\sigma, what does (μr)/σ(\mu - r)/\sigma represent in units of "return per unit risk"? Connect to the Sharpe ratio.
  4. Verify that under Q\mathbb{Q}, the stock SDE becomes dSt=rStdt+σStdW~tdS_t = r S_t\,dt + \sigma S_t\,d\tilde W_t — the stock's drift is the risk-free rate. What does this mean operationally for pricing derivatives?

Hint

The market price of risk θ=(μr)/σ\theta = (\mu - r)/\sigma is a constant here because μ,r,σ\mu, r, \sigma are constants. In stochastic-rate / stochastic-vol models, θt\theta_t becomes a stochastic process — same Girsanov argument, but with time-varying θ\theta.

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